Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3229
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3229 · MSO → SEA
departs 1:59 PM MT · arrives 2:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 11/8 23%
Mon 11/9 25%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 34%
Thu 11/12 29%
Fri 11/13 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MSO that day
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.