Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4143
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 4143 · MSP → MOT
departs 6:20 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 31%
Sat 11/14 29%
Sun 11/15 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MOT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MOT?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MOT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.