Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4179 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Yesterday

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

departs 7:59 PM PT · arrives 9:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4179 · SNA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?