Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1703 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

UA 1703 · SFO → MIA

departs 8:13 AM PT · arrives 4:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1703 · SFO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?