tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 8111 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 8111 · SNA → ORD

departs 2:19 PM PT · arrives 8:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.