Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
WN 2500 · SFO → BNA
departs 11:32 AM PT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 41%
Thu 11/12 45%
Fri 11/13 59%
Sun 11/15 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.