WN 2971 · BNA → DTW

departs 3:14 PM CT · arrives 5:56 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8837Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2309 from MCO: landed 2:14 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2971 · BNA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?