WN 416 · AUS → SJC

departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM PT

Your aircraft is N7860A (B737), coming in as WN 1288 from MEM: in the air, landing about 2:07 PM CT, 55 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SJC that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4.16667 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 416 · AUS → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?