WN 4639 · HOU → TPA

took off 8:08 PM CT · landed 10:43 PM ET (scheduled 6:32 PM CT → 9:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

TPA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4639 · HOU → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?