9E 5049 · CVG → MSP

departs 12:48 PM ET · arrives 1:57 PM CT

Your aircraft is N330PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5026 from EWR: landed 11:28 AM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.11 in

MSP (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5049 · CVG → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?