Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 519 LANDED 3:11 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Yesterday

9K 519 · HYA → ACK

took off · landed 3:11 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ACK more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ HYA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

HYA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ACK (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 519 · HYA → ACK

Odds over time