Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2402SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2402 · MIA → LGA
departs 4:57 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.