Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2859 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 12:37 PM PT (18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 2859 · LAS → DCA

departs 12:04 PM PT · arrives 7:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.