tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2945 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2945 · MIA → BWI

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 3:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.