Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1226
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 1226 · MSP → CLE
departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 3:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 11%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sun 11/15 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 3,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.