Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1468 · MIA → DTW
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 4:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 11/10 15%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 26%
Sat 11/14 31%
Sun 11/15 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 2,567 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.