Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1579 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

DL 1579 · DCA → MCO

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 5:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±5 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1579 · DCA → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?