Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2321
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 2321 · LGA → FLL
departs 3:29 PM ET · arrives 6:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 68%
Fri 11/13 51%
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.