Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2321
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2321 · LGA → FLL
departs 3:29 PM ET · arrives 6:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 11/11 25%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 51%
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±20 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.45 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.