Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 2483 · YVR → MSP
departs 12:56 PM MST · arrives 5:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 11%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 19%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at YVR that day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 6.66667 mi
Precip 0.69 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.