Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2528
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 2528 · SAT → MSP
departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 5:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 15%
Fri 11/13 20%
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
2pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SAT that day
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.