Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2644
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
DL 2644 · MSP → IAH
departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 5:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 13%
Fri 11/13 25%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.