Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2661 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

DL 2661 · MSP → JFK

departs 12:54 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2661 · MSP → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?