Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 705 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11

DL 705 · SLC → DCA

departs 10:37 AM MT · arrives 4:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 705 · SLC → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?