Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3042
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
OO 3042 · STS → SNA
departs 5:44 PM PT · arrives 7:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
STS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.