Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 3148 · MFR → SEA
departs 6:42 PM PT · arrives 8:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 13%
Fri 11/13 29%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MFR are often late
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.