Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3148
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 3148 · MFR → SEA
departs 6:44 PM PT · arrives 8:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11 13%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 29%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MFR are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at MFR that day
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.