Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 3933 · MSP → ATW
departs 8:14 PM CT · arrives 9:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 11%
Fri 11/13 19%
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATW at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.