Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3949
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 3949 · DTW → ELM
departs 9:45 PM ET · arrives 11:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 26%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 29%
Mon 11/16 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELM more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ELM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELM?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ELM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
ELM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.