Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 4243 · DTW → ESC
departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 13%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 25%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ESC more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ESC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ESC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ESC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ESC that day
↑
9pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ESC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ESC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.