Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 4992 · ORD → MKE
departs 9:31 PM CT · arrives 10:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 34%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 45%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.