Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5444 · ORD → SBN
departs 9:31 PM CT · arrives 11:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 24%
Fri 11/13 29%
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
SBN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.