Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5499 · ORD → SBN
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 26%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SBN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.