Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5508 · SFO → CRQ
departs 6:51 PM PT · arrives 1:36 AM -03
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 27%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRQ?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
SFO is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
CRQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.