Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5508 · SFO → CRQ
departs 6:51 PM PT · arrives 1:38 AM -03
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 27%
Sat 11/14 19%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at CRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRQ?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CRQ
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
CRQ (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.