Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5518
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow
OO 5518 · ORD → TVC
departs 7:58 PM CT · arrives 10:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 33%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 47%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.