Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2556 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

WN 2556 · LGA → BNA

departs 4:03 PM ET · arrives 5:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2556 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?