Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 2556 · LGA → BNA
departs 3:58 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 11/11 35%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 66%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 58%
Mon 11/16 59%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
84%
chance · ±8 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
84%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
47%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
84%
Yes 84%
No 16%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.51 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.