Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2089 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

AA 2089 · LGA → FLL

departs 3:17 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±15 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

FLL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2089 · LGA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?