Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2089 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 2089 · LGA → FLL

departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 5:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±11 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.39 in

FLL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2089 · LGA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?