Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3141 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

AA 3141 · CLT → MSY

departs 1:22 PM ET · arrives 2:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3141 · CLT → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?