Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3317 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

AA 3317 · MIA → ATL

departs 2:14 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

ATL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3317 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?