Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 454SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 454 · AUS → PHL
departs 12:46 PM CT · arrives 5:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.