tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 822 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 822 · SDQ → PHL

departs 2:51 PM AST · arrives 5:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
51% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.