Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1045 · LAX → SEA
departs 12:09 PM PT · arrives 2:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 26%
Tue 11/17 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.