Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
DL 1045 · LAX → SEA
departs 12:09 PM PT · arrives 2:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 11/12 13%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 26%
Tue 11/17 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.