Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1507 · ATL → TRI
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 12:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 11/10 8%
Wed 11/11 7%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14 10%
Sun 11/15 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at TRI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TRI?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at TRI that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
TRI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
TRI (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.