Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2006 · MKE → MSP
departs 3:13 PM CT · arrives 4:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 11/12
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt forecast at MKE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.