Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2061
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2061 · SAN → MSP
departs 12:07 PM PT · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 20%
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 20%
Tue 11/17 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.