Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2310 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 2310 · LGA → RSW

departs 3:53 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±18 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

RSW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2310 · LGA → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?